{"id":33,"date":"2015-04-17T23:43:58","date_gmt":"2015-04-17T22:43:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.chrisstoneman.com\/blog\/?p=33"},"modified":"2015-05-02T16:25:08","modified_gmt":"2015-05-02T15:25:08","slug":"predictably-irrational","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/chrisstoneman.com\/blog\/predictably-irrational\/","title":{"rendered":"We\u2019re all Predictably Irrational, so deal with it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve recently read a couple of very famous books on behavioural science. Considering why we think and act the way we do greatly improves our ability to actually get stuff\u00a0done right, both individually and as a team.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s some thoughts on\u00a0the first book, &#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.co.uk\/Predictably-Irrational-Hidden-Forces-Decisions\/dp\/0007256531\" target=\"_blank\">Predictably Irrational&#8217; by Dan Ariely<\/a>. If you&#8217;d like more info, this\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/dan_ariely_asks_are_we_in_control_of_our_own_decisions?language=en#t-7852\" target=\"_blank\">Ted Talk<\/a> is a good start.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Relative Value<\/h3>\n<p>Our decisions are easily influenced. We instinctively assign value to an item based on the alternate choices available, despite the fact that these alternatives are not an accurate overview of all options. Consider decoy pricing strategies in\u00a0Supermarkets, or the existence of \u00a330 in-app purchase bundles of credit in Candy Crush Saga style mobile games.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m fascinated by how this effects wellbeing. I have a natural aversion to Facebook, as it inherently prompts us to compare the value of our lives against the (supposed) lives of others. The more money\/stuff\/fun we have the more we want, with the only fix being to break the cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Narrow your circle, set your own goals and ignore everyone else&#8217;s. They&#8217;re not you.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Emotional decision making<\/h3>\n<p>We assume our decision making is constant, but it is of course heavily influenced by our current state of mind. I\u2019ve always known this about myself (hence my trusty pot of snacks to prevent hunger!), but I\u2019ve been recently surprised by the extent of\u00a0the effects of emotions on my decision making.<\/p>\n<p>Ariely discusses many more obvious emotional situations, such as hunger, anger, sexual arousal. They&#8217;re easy to understand and easy to deal with in everyday life. Frustration is a more intriguing phenomena; it\u2019s hard to identify, lingers for longer, and has a huge impact on my ability to make patient, considered decisions.<\/p>\n<p>This links to another section of Ariely\u2019s discussions, the Cool State vs Hot State. In a Cool State we prioritise important actions and make rationale, long term decisions. In a Hot State we prioritise urgent actions and make reactive, short-term decisions. There\u2019s no avoiding either state, the key is to identify them and act accordingly.<\/p>\n<h5><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Expectation Effects<\/h3>\n<p>If we expect a meal to be awesome, then it probably will be (especially if we paid an extortionate amount for it, though that&#8217;s a separate conversation).<\/p>\n<p>Ariely discusses in great depth that our expectations often influence a huge range of factors, from our everyday lives to questioning the very existence of a free market. Economics states that consumers will ultimately decide the price of a product, as they\u2019ll simply stop buying sub-standard items. <em>Behavioural<\/em> Economics questions this, as the perceived quality of a product is so heavily distorted by our expectation of it. Would you enjoy that iPhone as much if it had a different brand name?<\/p>\n<p>All this bleeds into many topics &#8211; economics, marketing, branding, and even self-confidence. I&#8217;m an optimistic person and enjoy life. But only recently have I realised that by simply expecting that I&#8217;ll enjoy my meal, my new gadget, or my day, I probably will.<\/p>\n<p>As I\u2019ve got older, my confidence has increased to the point where I generally expect that I\u2019ll do a good job on whatever is required. It reminds me of a famous Henry Ford quote&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Whether you think you can or you think you can\u2019t, you\u2019re probably right.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve recently read a couple of very famous books on behavioural science. Considering why we think and act the way we do greatly improves our ability to actually get stuff\u00a0done right, both individually and as a team. Here&#8217;s some thoughts on\u00a0the first book, &#8216;Predictably Irrational&#8217; by Dan Ariely. If you&#8217;d like more info, this\u00a0Ted Talk [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorised"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>We\u2019re all Predictably Irrational, so deal with it - Chris&#039; Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/chrisstoneman.com\/blog\/predictably-irrational\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"We\u2019re all Predictably Irrational, so deal with it - Chris&#039; Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I&#8217;ve recently read a couple of very famous books on behavioural science. Considering why we think and act the way we do greatly improves our ability to actually get stuff\u00a0done right, both individually and as a team. Here&#8217;s some thoughts on\u00a0the first book, &#8216;Predictably Irrational&#8217; by Dan Ariely. 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